My column today looks at the presidential race from the point of view of the most recent Octa survey, esp. its question on alternative choices for voters. How firm are current picks? See accompanying slides. The year’s first Long View Candidates’ holiday snapshot | Inquirer Opinion — opinion.inquirer.net By: Manuel L. Quezon III — @inquirerdotnet …

Happy New Year! Thank you to those who have sent constructive feedback on this newsletter, my column, podcast, and other efforts. For my patient and wonderful Patreons, I have an idea that I will share in a few weeks. The rest of this month will be spent figuring out the…

Two topics for today’s newsletter. First: My column on the continuing communications dysfunction in the Robredo campaign, which is blessed by very active, creative, and dedicated volunteers; but their efforts are retail politics (person-to-person) which is an adjunct to the bigger, wholesale, aspect of the campaign, which means messaging primarily…

The past and present collide repeatedly in three ways: a review of Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s record; a look at the so-called Youth Vote and why it’s proven an elusive political animal; and the 80th anniversary of the start of World War II in the Philippines. This week’s the Long View The last hawk standing |…

My column yesterday looked at the good fortune of Marcos Jr. and how he cleverly annexed good feels and vibes: an opportunity created because of unfortunate ads for Leni Robredo. But Marcos bravura also disguises their coalition’s unease from past experience. This week’s The Long View

The weekend begins with reports of Senator Go being prepared to throw in the towel, together with other stories that the President was trying to convince him otherwise (from a Rapper report): Senator Bong Go gave the impression that he has decided to withdraw from the 2022 presidential race in…

My column yesterday argued at its core, a weak presidency cultivated an image of strength enough to sap the vitality of national institutions including parties. Local parties filled the resulting power vacuum changing the political landscape. This week’s The Long View

Just a note on the Dutertes and the Marcoses, based on the interesting book by Earl Parreño. The President’s parting ways with the Marcoses has led to an escalation of innuendo and attack. …

My column today looks at Sept. (see: Winter is coming) to explain Oct. to Nov. developments as a series of attempts at intimidation that didn’t succeed. Plus, I tackle why the President is unhappy over the eventual configuration of candidates. Can something still be done? This Week’s The Long View A tale of two dares…